Week 8 · 2026

What the model says about week 8

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#11 TennesseeatSouth Carolina

Final · ESPN

Tennessee by 2.0

Model

56%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

#7 Ole Missat#19 Texas
Texas by 3.0 (59%)
#14 Houstonat#10 Utah
Utah by 6.2 (68%)
Pittat#1 Miami
Miami by 14.5 (87%)
#2 BYUatUCF
BYU by 4.5 (64%)
#6 IndianaatMichigan
Indiana by 9.1 (76%)
#8 Texas TechatCincinnati
Texas Tech by 6.1 (68%)
Michigan Stat#9 UCLA
UCLA by 11.0 (80%)
#11 TennesseeatSouth Carolina
Tennessee by 2.0 (56%)

The full slate

56 games, in kickoff order.

MTSUatFIU
FIU by 7.4 (72%)
Missouri StatDelaware
Delaware by 6.5 (69%)
South AlabamaatMarshall
South Alabama by 1.2 (54%)
New Mexico StatSam Houston
New Mexico St by 2.6 (58%)
James MadisonatApp State
James Madison by 11.5 (81%)
LibertyatKennesaw St
Liberty by 5.9 (68%)
East CarolinaatMemphis
Memphis by 6.6 (69%)
DukeatVirginia
Virginia by 1.4 (54%)
UMassatUConn
UConn by 14.5 (87%)
ArmyatTulsa
Army by 2.0 (56%)
Air ForceatWyoming
Air Force by 2.8 (59%)
NC StateatStanford
NC State by 3.6 (61%)
Pittat#1 Miami
Miami by 14.5 (87%)
#6 IndianaatMichigan
Indiana by 9.1 (76%)
#8 Texas TechatCincinnati
Texas Tech by 6.1 (68%)
#18 LSUatAuburn
LSU by 6.4 (69%)
Californiaat#23 SMU
SMU by 13.9 (86%)
Rutgersat#24 Northwestern
Northwestern by 13.8 (86%)
West VirginiaatTCU
TCU by 7.3 (71%)
RiceatFAU
FAU by 6.8 (70%)
W MichiganatToledo
Toledo by 4.4 (63%)
BayloratKansas
Baylor by 0.3 (51%)
AkronatKent State
Kent State by 5.4 (66%)
Miami OHatC Michigan
Miami OH by 0.6 (52%)
OregonatIllinois
Oregon by 4.0 (62%)
#2 BYUatUCF
BYU by 4.5 (64%)
Michigan Stat#9 UCLA
UCLA by 11.0 (80%)
#11 TennesseeatSouth Carolina
Tennessee by 2.0 (56%)
Texas A&Mat#13 Alabama
Alabama by 10.8 (80%)
#15 IowaatMinnesota
Iowa by 4.7 (64%)
OklahomaatMississippi St
Oklahoma by 0.8 (53%)
Boston CollegeatGeorgia Tech
Georgia Tech by 2.7 (58%)
North TexasatNavy
North Texas by 4.7 (64%)
Hawai'iatN Illinois
Hawai'i by 9.0 (76%)
Sacramento StatBall State
Ball State by 9.6 (77%)
Bowling GreenatBuffalo
Buffalo by 5.3 (66%)
Kansas StatArizona St
Kansas St by 0.8 (52%)
E MichiganatOhio
Ohio by 10.1 (78%)
UL MonroeatTroy
Troy by 10.1 (78%)
San José StatNevada
Nevada by 4.7 (64%)
LouisianaatSouthern Miss
Louisiana by 4.0 (62%)
Old DominionatLouisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech by 9.2 (76%)
#21 Boise StatWashington St
Boise St by 8.8 (75%)
San Diego StatColorado St
San Diego St by 1.7 (55%)
ColoradoatOklahoma St
Oklahoma St by 10.6 (79%)
Virginia TechatClemson
Clemson by 3.4 (60%)
Georgia StatArkansas St
Arkansas St by 2.1 (56%)
#7 Ole Missat#19 Texas
Texas by 3.0 (59%)
Vanderbiltat#12 Kentucky
Kentucky by 9.4 (77%)
#16 USCatWisconsin
Wisconsin by 0.9 (53%)
Iowa Stateat#25 Arizona
Arizona by 10.1 (78%)
SyracuseatNorth Carolina
North Carolina by 5.5 (66%)
Utah StateatTexas St
Texas St by 9.7 (77%)
UTSAatTulane
UTSA by 0.9 (53%)
#14 Houstonat#10 Utah
Utah by 6.2 (68%)
N Dakota StatNew Mexico
New Mexico by 3.0 (59%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.