Week 7 · 2026
What the model says about week 7
Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.
Tennessee's game
#6 Alabamaat
#14 Tennessee
Final · ABC
Alabama by 2.6
Model
58%
To win
—
Market
Ranked teams this week
#2 Notre Dameat
#8 BYUNotre Dame by 5.0 (65%)
#4 Ohio Stateat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 1.5 (55%)
#6 Alabamaat
#14 TennesseeAlabama by 2.6 (58%)
#13 Missouriat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 7.1 (71%)
#16 Mississippi Stat
#22 LSULSU by 10.8 (80%)
#18 Oklahoma Stat
#20 HoustonHouston by 10.4 (79%)
Auburnat
#1 GeorgiaGeorgia by 10.5 (79%)
Florida Stat
#3 MiamiMiami by 14.8 (87%)
The full slate
62 games, in kickoff order.
Delawareat
MTSUDelaware by 0.1 (50%)
FIUat
Jax StateJax State by 3.3 (60%)
Kennesaw Stat
Missouri StKennesaw St by 2.5 (58%)
Western KYat
Sam HoustonWestern KY by 3.4 (60%)
East Carolinaat
UABEast Carolina by 4.2 (63%)
GA Southernat
Old DominionOld Dominion by 0.6 (52%)
Colorado Stat
Texas StTexas St by 12.5 (83%)
Memphisat
TulaneTulane by 0.8 (53%)
Washingtonat
PurdueWashington by 0.8 (52%)
App Stateat
CoastalCoastal by 1.6 (55%)
#4 Ohio Stateat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 1.5 (55%)
Floridaat
#7 TexasTexas by 8.2 (74%)
#16 Mississippi Stat
#22 LSULSU by 10.8 (80%)
Virginiaat
#24 SMUSMU by 4.4 (63%)
#25 Northwesternat
Michigan StNorthwestern by 4.2 (63%)
Cincinnatiat
West VirginiaCincinnati by 0.0 (50%)
Kansasat
Kansas StKansas St by 5.8 (67%)
Charleston Soat
ClemsonClemson by 33.5 (99%)
Pittat
Boston CollegePitt by 9.3 (76%)
FAUat
ArmyArmy by 9.1 (76%)
Ball Stateat
Bowling GreenBowling Green by 4.3 (63%)
Georgia Stat
James MadisonJames Madison by 16.0 (89%)
Rutgersat
MarylandMaryland by 2.8 (59%)
The Citadelat
Texas A&MTexas A&M by 38.0 (99%)
Charlotteat
TempleTemple by 12.3 (83%)
UMassat
BuffaloBuffalo by 4.9 (65%)
W Michiganat
C MichiganW Michigan by 5.4 (66%)
Auburnat
#1 GeorgiaGeorgia by 10.5 (79%)
#6 Alabamaat
#14 TennesseeAlabama by 2.6 (58%)
#13 Missouriat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 7.1 (71%)
Arizona Stat
#10 Texas TechTexas Tech by 18.0 (92%)
Georgia Techat
Virginia TechVirginia Tech by 4.5 (64%)
North Carolinaat
DukeDuke by 5.6 (67%)
Penn Stateat
MichiganMichigan by 1.0 (53%)
N Illinoisat
WyomingWyoming by 8.8 (75%)
UNLVat
Air ForceAir Force by 2.0 (56%)
Toledoat
E MichiganToledo by 8.9 (75%)
Akronat
Miami OHMiami OH by 11.6 (81%)
Tulsaat
RiceTulsa by 5.1 (65%)
Troyat
LouisianaLouisiana by 7.5 (72%)
Washington Stat
Oregon StOregon St by 9.0 (76%)
Florida Stat
#3 MiamiMiami by 14.8 (87%)
Arkansasat
VanderbiltVanderbilt by 3.3 (60%)
TCUat
BaylorBaylor by 0.6 (52%)
Kent Stateat
South FloridaSouth Florida by 18.9 (93%)
Nevadaat
N Dakota StN Dakota St by 15.9 (89%)
Arkansas Stat
Southern MissArkansas St by 1.8 (55%)
#2 Notre Dameat
#8 BYUNotre Dame by 5.0 (65%)
Wisconsinat
#12 UCLAUCLA by 5.7 (67%)
#15 Kentuckyat
OklahomaOklahoma by 3.3 (60%)
#18 Oklahoma Stat
#20 HoustonHouston by 10.4 (79%)
Elonat
StanfordStanford by 23.5 (96%)
Louisvilleat
SyracuseLouisville by 8.1 (73%)
Navyat
UTSAUTSA by 4.1 (62%)
Louisiana Techat
UL MonroeLouisiana Tech by 14.0 (86%)
San José Stat
UTEPSan José St by 3.9 (62%)
Ohioat
Sacramento StOhio by 14.9 (87%)
#11 Utahat
ColoradoUtah by 13.6 (85%)
#21 Wake Forestat
CaliforniaWake Forest by 9.8 (77%)
Fresno Stat
San Diego StFresno St by 1.1 (53%)
New Mexicoat
Hawai'iNew Mexico by 10.9 (80%)
Nebraskaat
OregonOregon by 6.7 (70%)
How this works
Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.
Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.
Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.