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Week 7 · 2026

What the model says about week 7

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#6 Alabamaat#14 Tennessee

Final · ABC

Alabama by 2.6

Model

58%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

  • #2 Notre Dameat#8 BYU

    Notre Dame by 5.0 (65%)

  • #4 Ohio Stateat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 1.5 (55%)

  • #6 Alabamaat#14 Tennessee

    Alabama by 2.6 (58%)

  • #13 Missouriat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 7.1 (71%)

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#22 LSU

    LSU by 10.8 (80%)

  • #18 Oklahoma Stat#20 Houston

    Houston by 10.4 (79%)

  • Auburnat#1 Georgia

    Georgia by 10.5 (79%)

  • Florida Stat#3 Miami

    Miami by 14.8 (87%)

The full slate

62 games, in kickoff order.

  • DelawareatMTSU

    Delaware by 0.1 (50%)

  • FIUatJax State

    Jax State by 3.3 (60%)

  • Kennesaw StatMissouri St

    Kennesaw St by 2.5 (58%)

  • Western KYatSam Houston

    Western KY by 3.4 (60%)

  • East CarolinaatUAB

    East Carolina by 4.2 (63%)

  • GA SouthernatOld Dominion

    Old Dominion by 0.6 (52%)

  • Colorado StatTexas St

    Texas St by 12.5 (83%)

  • MemphisatTulane

    Tulane by 0.8 (53%)

  • WashingtonatPurdue

    Washington by 0.8 (52%)

  • App StateatCoastal

    Coastal by 1.6 (55%)

  • #4 Ohio Stateat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 1.5 (55%)

  • Floridaat#7 Texas

    Texas by 8.2 (74%)

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#22 LSU

    LSU by 10.8 (80%)

  • Virginiaat#24 SMU

    SMU by 4.4 (63%)

  • #25 NorthwesternatMichigan St

    Northwestern by 4.2 (63%)

  • CincinnatiatWest Virginia

    Cincinnati by 0.0 (50%)

  • KansasatKansas St

    Kansas St by 5.8 (67%)

  • Charleston SoatClemson

    Clemson by 33.5 (99%)

  • PittatBoston College

    Pitt by 9.3 (76%)

  • FAUatArmy

    Army by 9.1 (76%)

  • Ball StateatBowling Green

    Bowling Green by 4.3 (63%)

  • Georgia StatJames Madison

    James Madison by 16.0 (89%)

  • RutgersatMaryland

    Maryland by 2.8 (59%)

  • The CitadelatTexas A&M

    Texas A&M by 38.0 (99%)

  • CharlotteatTemple

    Temple by 12.3 (83%)

  • UMassatBuffalo

    Buffalo by 4.9 (65%)

  • W MichiganatC Michigan

    W Michigan by 5.4 (66%)

  • Auburnat#1 Georgia

    Georgia by 10.5 (79%)

  • #6 Alabamaat#14 Tennessee

    Alabama by 2.6 (58%)

  • #13 Missouriat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 7.1 (71%)

  • Arizona Stat#10 Texas Tech

    Texas Tech by 18.0 (92%)

  • Georgia TechatVirginia Tech

    Virginia Tech by 4.5 (64%)

  • North CarolinaatDuke

    Duke by 5.6 (67%)

  • Penn StateatMichigan

    Michigan by 1.0 (53%)

  • N IllinoisatWyoming

    Wyoming by 8.8 (75%)

  • UNLVatAir Force

    Air Force by 2.0 (56%)

  • ToledoatE Michigan

    Toledo by 8.9 (75%)

  • AkronatMiami OH

    Miami OH by 11.6 (81%)

  • TulsaatRice

    Tulsa by 5.1 (65%)

  • TroyatLouisiana

    Louisiana by 7.5 (72%)

  • Washington StatOregon St

    Oregon St by 9.0 (76%)

  • Florida Stat#3 Miami

    Miami by 14.8 (87%)

  • ArkansasatVanderbilt

    Vanderbilt by 3.3 (60%)

  • TCUatBaylor

    Baylor by 0.6 (52%)

  • Kent StateatSouth Florida

    South Florida by 18.9 (93%)

  • NevadaatN Dakota St

    N Dakota St by 15.9 (89%)

  • Arkansas StatSouthern Miss

    Arkansas St by 1.8 (55%)

  • #2 Notre Dameat#8 BYU

    Notre Dame by 5.0 (65%)

  • Wisconsinat#12 UCLA

    UCLA by 5.7 (67%)

  • #15 KentuckyatOklahoma

    Oklahoma by 3.3 (60%)

  • #18 Oklahoma Stat#20 Houston

    Houston by 10.4 (79%)

  • ElonatStanford

    Stanford by 23.5 (96%)

  • LouisvilleatSyracuse

    Louisville by 8.1 (73%)

  • NavyatUTSA

    UTSA by 4.1 (62%)

  • Louisiana TechatUL Monroe

    Louisiana Tech by 14.0 (86%)

  • San José StatUTEP

    San José St by 3.9 (62%)

  • OhioatSacramento St

    Ohio by 14.9 (87%)

  • #11 UtahatColorado

    Utah by 13.6 (85%)

  • #21 Wake ForestatCalifornia

    Wake Forest by 9.8 (77%)

  • Fresno StatSan Diego St

    Fresno St by 1.1 (53%)

  • New MexicoatHawai'i

    New Mexico by 10.9 (80%)

  • NebraskaatOregon

    Oregon by 6.7 (70%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.