Week 9 · 2026
What the model says about week 9
Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.
Ranked teams this week
#3 Ohio Stateat
#16 USCOhio State by 5.9 (68%)
#20 Floridavs
#5 GeorgiaGeorgia by 7.5 (72%)
#25 Arizonaat
#8 Texas TechTexas Tech by 8.7 (75%)
#1 Miamiat
North CarolinaMiami by 12.8 (84%)
Arizona Stat
#2 BYUBYU by 16.3 (90%)
#4 Notre Damevs
NavyNotre Dame by 20.1 (94%)
Minnesotaat
#6 IndianaIndiana by 20.6 (94%)
Auburnat
#7 Ole MissOle Miss by 8.8 (75%)
The full slate
56 games, in kickoff order.
Delawareat
Western KYWestern KY by 4.7 (64%)
Sam Houstonat
Missouri StMissouri St by 5.1 (65%)
Kennesaw Stat
MTSUKennesaw St by 4.0 (62%)
Jax Stateat
New Mexico StJax State by 3.0 (59%)
FAUat
North TexasNorth Texas by 13.2 (85%)
Troyat
James MadisonJames Madison by 18.6 (92%)
Tulaneat
CharlotteTulane by 14.7 (87%)
Baylorat
UCFUCF by 1.5 (54%)
Kent Stateat
Sacramento StKent State by 3.8 (62%)
Nevadaat
#9 UCLAUCLA by 19.3 (93%)
#24 Northwesternat
OregonOregon by 8.4 (74%)
Purdueat
Penn StatePenn State by 9.5 (77%)
#4 Notre Damevs
NavyNotre Dame by 20.1 (94%)
#25 Arizonaat
#8 Texas TechTexas Tech by 8.7 (75%)
Wisconsinat
#15 IowaIowa by 5.3 (66%)
#23 SMUat
SyracuseSMU by 5.5 (66%)
Californiaat
NC StateNC State by 5.7 (67%)
Boston Collegeat
DukeDuke by 12.5 (83%)
Illinoisat
MarylandIllinois by 3.2 (60%)
UABat
South FloridaSouth Florida by 14.5 (87%)
Bowling Greenat
W MichiganW Michigan by 14.3 (87%)
Michiganat
RutgersMichigan by 5.8 (67%)
Auburnat
#7 Ole MissOle Miss by 8.8 (75%)
Marshallat
Old DominionOld Dominion by 7.7 (72%)
Kansas Stat
ColoradoKansas St by 4.8 (64%)
Coastalat
Georgia StGeorgia St by 6.5 (69%)
UConnat
Air ForceAir Force by 2.6 (58%)
Templeat
East CarolinaEast Carolina by 7.0 (71%)
Louisiana Techat
South AlabamaLouisiana Tech by 1.3 (54%)
Stanfordat
LouisvilleLouisville by 17.1 (91%)
Arizona Stat
#2 BYUBYU by 16.3 (90%)
#20 Floridavs
#5 GeorgiaGeorgia by 7.5 (72%)
Minnesotaat
#6 IndianaIndiana by 20.6 (94%)
Kansasat
TCUTCU by 8.0 (73%)
Colorado Stat
Utah StateUtah State by 4.4 (63%)
UTEPat
N Dakota StN Dakota St by 23.1 (96%)
FIUat
LibertyLiberty by 6.7 (70%)
Southern Missat
UL MonroeSouthern Miss by 5.1 (65%)
#10 Utahat
CincinnatiUtah by 9.1 (76%)
Virginiaat
#17 Wake ForestWake Forest by 8.6 (75%)
New Mexicoat
San José StNew Mexico by 11.3 (81%)
South Carolinaat
OklahomaOklahoma by 4.3 (63%)
App Stateat
GA SouthernGA Southern by 6.4 (69%)
Oklahoma Stat
Iowa StateIowa State by 4.2 (63%)
Clemsonat
Florida StFlorida St by 4.0 (62%)
Washington Stat
San Diego StSan Diego St by 4.0 (62%)
#1 Miamiat
North CarolinaMiami by 12.8 (84%)
#3 Ohio Stateat
#16 USCOhio State by 5.9 (68%)
Mississippi Stat
#19 TexasTexas by 10.1 (78%)
Georgia Techat
PittPitt by 9.7 (77%)
#22 Missouriat
ArkansasMissouri by 6.5 (69%)
Washingtonat
NebraskaNebraska by 7.8 (72%)
Armyat
MemphisMemphis by 3.8 (61%)
Texas Stat
#21 Boise StBoise St by 7.0 (71%)
N Illinoisat
UNLVUNLV by 18.0 (92%)
Oregon Stat
Fresno StFresno St by 1.1 (54%)
How this works
Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.
Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.
Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.