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Week 9 · 2026

What the model says about week 9

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Ranked teams this week

  • #3 Ohio Stateat#16 USC

    Ohio State by 5.9 (68%)

  • #20 Floridavs#5 Georgia

    Georgia by 7.5 (72%)

  • #25 Arizonaat#8 Texas Tech

    Texas Tech by 8.7 (75%)

  • #1 MiamiatNorth Carolina

    Miami by 12.8 (84%)

  • Arizona Stat#2 BYU

    BYU by 16.3 (90%)

  • #4 Notre DamevsNavy

    Notre Dame by 20.1 (94%)

  • Minnesotaat#6 Indiana

    Indiana by 20.6 (94%)

  • Auburnat#7 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 8.8 (75%)

The full slate

56 games, in kickoff order.

  • DelawareatWestern KY

    Western KY by 4.7 (64%)

  • Sam HoustonatMissouri St

    Missouri St by 5.1 (65%)

  • Kennesaw StatMTSU

    Kennesaw St by 4.0 (62%)

  • Jax StateatNew Mexico St

    Jax State by 3.0 (59%)

  • FAUatNorth Texas

    North Texas by 13.2 (85%)

  • TroyatJames Madison

    James Madison by 18.6 (92%)

  • TulaneatCharlotte

    Tulane by 14.7 (87%)

  • BayloratUCF

    UCF by 1.5 (54%)

  • Kent StateatSacramento St

    Kent State by 3.8 (62%)

  • Nevadaat#9 UCLA

    UCLA by 19.3 (93%)

  • #24 NorthwesternatOregon

    Oregon by 8.4 (74%)

  • PurdueatPenn State

    Penn State by 9.5 (77%)

  • #4 Notre DamevsNavy

    Notre Dame by 20.1 (94%)

  • #25 Arizonaat#8 Texas Tech

    Texas Tech by 8.7 (75%)

  • Wisconsinat#15 Iowa

    Iowa by 5.3 (66%)

  • #23 SMUatSyracuse

    SMU by 5.5 (66%)

  • CaliforniaatNC State

    NC State by 5.7 (67%)

  • Boston CollegeatDuke

    Duke by 12.5 (83%)

  • IllinoisatMaryland

    Illinois by 3.2 (60%)

  • UABatSouth Florida

    South Florida by 14.5 (87%)

  • Bowling GreenatW Michigan

    W Michigan by 14.3 (87%)

  • MichiganatRutgers

    Michigan by 5.8 (67%)

  • Auburnat#7 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 8.8 (75%)

  • MarshallatOld Dominion

    Old Dominion by 7.7 (72%)

  • Kansas StatColorado

    Kansas St by 4.8 (64%)

  • CoastalatGeorgia St

    Georgia St by 6.5 (69%)

  • UConnatAir Force

    Air Force by 2.6 (58%)

  • TempleatEast Carolina

    East Carolina by 7.0 (71%)

  • Louisiana TechatSouth Alabama

    Louisiana Tech by 1.3 (54%)

  • StanfordatLouisville

    Louisville by 17.1 (91%)

  • Arizona Stat#2 BYU

    BYU by 16.3 (90%)

  • #20 Floridavs#5 Georgia

    Georgia by 7.5 (72%)

  • Minnesotaat#6 Indiana

    Indiana by 20.6 (94%)

  • KansasatTCU

    TCU by 8.0 (73%)

  • Colorado StatUtah State

    Utah State by 4.4 (63%)

  • UTEPatN Dakota St

    N Dakota St by 23.1 (96%)

  • FIUatLiberty

    Liberty by 6.7 (70%)

  • Southern MissatUL Monroe

    Southern Miss by 5.1 (65%)

  • #10 UtahatCincinnati

    Utah by 9.1 (76%)

  • Virginiaat#17 Wake Forest

    Wake Forest by 8.6 (75%)

  • New MexicoatSan José St

    New Mexico by 11.3 (81%)

  • South CarolinaatOklahoma

    Oklahoma by 4.3 (63%)

  • App StateatGA Southern

    GA Southern by 6.4 (69%)

  • Oklahoma StatIowa State

    Iowa State by 4.2 (63%)

  • ClemsonatFlorida St

    Florida St by 4.0 (62%)

  • Washington StatSan Diego St

    San Diego St by 4.0 (62%)

  • #1 MiamiatNorth Carolina

    Miami by 12.8 (84%)

  • #3 Ohio Stateat#16 USC

    Ohio State by 5.9 (68%)

  • Mississippi Stat#19 Texas

    Texas by 10.1 (78%)

  • Georgia TechatPitt

    Pitt by 9.7 (77%)

  • #22 MissouriatArkansas

    Missouri by 6.5 (69%)

  • WashingtonatNebraska

    Nebraska by 7.8 (72%)

  • ArmyatMemphis

    Memphis by 3.8 (61%)

  • Texas Stat#21 Boise St

    Boise St by 7.0 (71%)

  • N IllinoisatUNLV

    UNLV by 18.0 (92%)

  • Oregon StatFresno St

    Fresno St by 1.1 (54%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.