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Week 13 · 2026

What the model says about week 13

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#17 TennesseeatVanderbilt

TBD

Tennessee by 1.7

Model

55%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 4.8 (64%)

  • #18 USCat#23 UCLA

    USC by 0.7 (52%)

  • #1 TexasatTexas A&M

    Texas by 2.5 (58%)

  • Georgia Techat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 17.9 (92%)

  • #3 Notre DameatSyracuse

    Notre Dame by 21.4 (95%)

  • Boston Collegeat#4 Miami

    Miami by 24.5 (97%)

  • Michiganat#5 Ohio State

    Ohio State by 14.1 (86%)

  • Purdueat#6 Indiana

    Indiana by 22.5 (96%)

The full slate

69 games, in kickoff order.

  • Miami OHatW Michigan

    W Michigan by 4.8 (64%)

  • Kent StateatE Michigan

    E Michigan by 2.9 (59%)

  • TCUat#12 Texas Tech

    Texas Tech by 10.0 (78%)

  • FAUatEast Carolina

    East Carolina by 6.7 (70%)

  • TempleatMemphis

    Memphis by 8.0 (73%)

  • TulaneatSouth Florida

    South Florida by 7.0 (71%)

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 4.8 (64%)

  • Nebraskaat#14 Iowa

    Iowa by 4.5 (63%)

  • BuffaloatAkron

    Akron by 4.4 (63%)

  • ToledoatOhio

    Toledo by 5.1 (65%)

  • App StateatSouth Alabama

    South Alabama by 1.7 (55%)

  • #8 FloridaatFlorida St

    Florida by 3.8 (62%)

  • N Dakota StatSan José St

    N Dakota St by 13.9 (86%)

  • #1 TexasatTexas A&M

    Texas by 2.5 (58%)

  • MinnesotaatWisconsin

    Wisconsin by 4.1 (62%)

  • West Virginiaat#13 Utah

    Utah by 16.4 (90%)

  • Georgia Techat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 17.9 (92%)

  • #3 Notre DameatSyracuse

    Notre Dame by 21.4 (95%)

  • Boston Collegeat#4 Miami

    Miami by 24.5 (97%)

  • Purdueat#6 Indiana

    Indiana by 22.5 (96%)

  • Auburnat#7 Alabama

    Alabama by 12.0 (82%)

  • Cincinnatiat#10 BYU

    BYU by 9.1 (76%)

  • #11 LSUatArkansas

    LSU by 10.1 (78%)

  • Washingtonat#15 Oregon

    Oregon by 11.6 (81%)

  • #17 TennesseeatVanderbilt

    Tennessee by 1.7 (55%)

  • #18 USCat#23 UCLA

    USC by 0.7 (52%)

  • Kansasat#19 Oklahoma St

    Oklahoma St by 2.1 (57%)

  • Baylorat#20 Houston

    Houston by 5.7 (67%)

  • #21 SMUatStanford

    SMU by 7.0 (70%)

  • Louisvilleat#24 Kentucky

    Kentucky by 0.8 (52%)

  • Oklahomaat#25 Missouri

    Missouri by 1.3 (54%)

  • South CarolinaatClemson

    Clemson by 3.4 (60%)

  • Arizona StatArizona

    Arizona by 5.6 (67%)

  • UCFatColorado

    UCF by 5.5 (66%)

  • Kansas StatIowa State

    Iowa State by 1.1 (53%)

  • DukeatWake Forest

    Duke by 0.5 (52%)

  • NC StateatNorth Carolina

    NC State by 1.9 (56%)

  • PittatCalifornia

    Pitt by 9.4 (77%)

  • VirginiaatVirginia Tech

    Virginia by 2.8 (58%)

  • IllinoisatNorthwestern

    Northwestern by 3.5 (61%)

  • Penn StateatMaryland

    Penn State by 4.7 (64%)

  • Michigan StatRutgers

    Michigan St by 1.3 (54%)

  • TBDatColorado St

    Colorado St by 23.9 (97%)

  • TBDatFresno St

    Fresno St by 31.9 (99%)

  • TBDatUtah State

    Utah State by 23.9 (97%)

  • TBDatWashington St

    Washington St by 27.7 (98%)

  • UConnatWyoming

    UConn by 7.0 (71%)

  • TulsaatUTSA

    UTSA by 8.5 (74%)

  • ArmyatRice

    Army by 6.1 (68%)

  • NavyatCharlotte

    Navy by 13.1 (84%)

  • UABatNorth Texas

    North Texas by 15.4 (88%)

  • UTEPatN Illinois

    N Illinois by 0.2 (50%)

  • CoastalatJames Madison

    James Madison by 18.6 (92%)

  • Louisiana TechatGA Southern

    Louisiana Tech by 1.1 (53%)

  • LouisianaatGeorgia St

    Georgia St by 1.0 (53%)

  • MarshallatUL Monroe

    Marshall by 4.5 (64%)

  • Southern MissatOld Dominion

    Old Dominion by 7.1 (71%)

  • Michiganat#5 Ohio State

    Ohio State by 14.1 (86%)

  • C MichiganatBall State

    C Michigan by 2.6 (58%)

  • UMassatBowling Green

    UMass by 2.9 (59%)

  • Kennesaw StatWestern KY

    Kennesaw St by 2.7 (58%)

  • LibertyatMissouri St

    Liberty by 4.8 (64%)

  • Sam HoustonatFIU

    FIU by 7.3 (71%)

  • New Mexico StatMTSU

    MTSU by 1.4 (54%)

  • TroyatArkansas St

    Arkansas St by 2.2 (57%)

  • Jax StateatDelaware

    Jax State by 1.3 (54%)

  • Air ForceatNew Mexico

    New Mexico by 9.6 (77%)

  • NevadaatUNLV

    UNLV by 10.6 (79%)

  • Sacramento StatHawai'i

    Hawai'i by 8.2 (74%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.