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Week 2 · 2026

What the model says about week 2

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#18 TennesseeatGeorgia Tech

Final · ESPN

Tennessee by 7.6

Model

72%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

  • #1 Ohio Stateat#4 Texas

    Ohio State by 1.3 (54%)

  • Western KYat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 26.4 (98%)

  • Riceat#3 Notre Dame

    Notre Dame by 31.8 (99%)

  • Howardat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 47.5 (99%)

  • #6 OregonatOklahoma St

    Oregon by 11.8 (82%)

  • Florida A&Mat#7 Miami

    Miami by 46.1 (99%)

  • Louisiana Techat#8 LSU

    LSU by 16.7 (90%)

  • Charlotteat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 29.0 (99%)

The full slate

86 games, in kickoff order.

  • Florida A&Mat#7 Miami

    Miami by 46.1 (99%)

  • Villanovaat#24 Louisville

    Louisville by 35.5 (99%)

  • Norfolk Stat#25 Virginia

    Virginia by 38.4 (99%)

  • RichmondatNC State

    NC State by 32.7 (99%)

  • RutgersatBoston College

    Rutgers by 1.8 (56%)

  • #23 MissouriatKansas

    Missouri by 4.8 (64%)

  • Howardat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 47.5 (99%)

  • Arizona Stat#10 Texas A&M

    Texas A&M by 10.9 (80%)

  • #11 OklahomaatMichigan

    Michigan by 1.8 (56%)

  • #16 Penn StateatTemple

    Penn State by 9.4 (76%)

  • Washington StatKansas St

    Kansas St by 10.1 (78%)

  • ETSUatNorth Carolina

    North Carolina by 28.3 (99%)

  • Old DominionatVirginia Tech

    Virginia Tech by 7.8 (72%)

  • Wake ForestatPurdue

    Wake Forest by 3.9 (62%)

  • South FloridaatArmy

    South Florida by 2.7 (58%)

  • App StateatEast Carolina

    East Carolina by 8.6 (74%)

  • WoffordatKent State

    Kent State by 18.8 (93%)

  • WagneratJames Madison

    James Madison by 39.3 (99%)

  • Gardner-WebbatLiberty

    Liberty by 29.2 (99%)

  • Western KYat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 26.4 (98%)

  • UT MartinatWest Virginia

    West Virginia by 30.3 (99%)

  • ColgateatC Michigan

    C Michigan by 21.3 (95%)

  • Holy CrossatMiami OH

    Miami OH by 27.3 (98%)

  • #6 OregonatOklahoma St

    Oregon by 11.8 (82%)

  • Stony BrookatBall State

    Ball State by 16.3 (89%)

  • Riceat#3 Notre Dame

    Notre Dame by 31.8 (99%)

  • #12 AlabamaatKentucky

    Alabama by 10.1 (78%)

  • Arizonaat#15 BYU

    BYU by 8.4 (74%)

  • Utah Stateat#19 Washington

    Washington by 12.8 (84%)

  • Mississippi StatMinnesota

    Mississippi St by 3.8 (62%)

  • Weber StatColorado

    Colorado by 26.3 (98%)

  • UCFatPitt

    Pitt by 8.5 (74%)

  • CaliforniaatSyracuse

    Syracuse by 0.9 (53%)

  • DukeatIllinois

    Illinois by 0.8 (52%)

  • E MichiganatMichigan St

    Michigan St by 15.6 (88%)

  • MarylandatUConn

    UConn by 1.2 (54%)

  • UTSAatTexas St

    Texas St by 0.3 (51%)

  • UL MonroeatUAB

    UAB by 9.5 (77%)

  • Robert MorrisatAkron

    Akron by 18.1 (92%)

  • C ConnecticutatToledo

    Toledo by 34.4 (99%)

  • Sacred HeartatUMass

    UMass by 20.8 (95%)

  • UNLVatNorth Texas

    North Texas by 8.7 (75%)

  • UC Davisat#17 SMU

    SMU by 35.0 (99%)

  • N ColoradoatWyoming

    Wyoming by 19.9 (94%)

  • MercyhurstatNew Mexico

    New Mexico by 34.2 (99%)

  • Alabama StatTroy

    Troy by 24.1 (97%)

  • DelawareatVanderbilt

    Vanderbilt by 14.8 (87%)

  • CampbellatFlorida

    Florida by 40.2 (99%)

  • MemphisatBoise St

    Boise St by 5.8 (67%)

  • BuffaloatFIU

    FIU by 10.3 (79%)

  • Jax StateatOhio

    Ohio by 2.5 (58%)

  • MonmouthatW Michigan

    W Michigan by 29.6 (99%)

  • #18 TennesseeatGeorgia Tech

    Tennessee by 7.6 (72%)

  • Southernat#22 Houston

    Houston by 36.3 (99%)

  • TowsonatSouth Carolina

    South Carolina by 34.1 (99%)

  • W CarolinaatCincinnati

    Cincinnati by 33.9 (99%)

  • Bowling GreenatNebraska

    Nebraska by 24.0 (97%)

  • Southern UtahatColorado St

    Colorado St by 23.9 (97%)

  • TulsaatSam Houston

    Tulsa by 4.8 (65%)

  • Illinois StatN Illinois

    N Illinois by 14.9 (87%)

  • South AlabamaatTulane

    Tulane by 9.4 (76%)

  • West GeorgiaatArkansas St

    Arkansas St by 23.8 (97%)

  • Georgia StatKennesaw St

    Kennesaw St by 3.1 (59%)

  • MTSUatMarshall

    Marshall by 3.7 (61%)

  • LindenwoodatMissouri St

    Missouri St by 21.9 (95%)

  • San Diego StatUCLA

    UCLA by 11.1 (80%)

  • W IllinoisatWisconsin

    Wisconsin by 33.6 (99%)

  • #1 Ohio Stateat#4 Texas

    Ohio State by 1.3 (54%)

  • Louisiana Techat#8 LSU

    LSU by 16.7 (90%)

  • #13 Texas TechatOregon St

    Texas Tech by 13.9 (86%)

  • Iowa Stateat#21 Iowa

    Iowa by 7.4 (71%)

  • NavyatFAU

    Navy by 0.8 (52%)

  • FordhamatCoastal

    Coastal by 23.1 (96%)

  • Charlotteat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 29.0 (99%)

  • GramblingatTCU

    TCU by 35.1 (99%)

  • Prairie ViewatBaylor

    Baylor by 33.1 (99%)

  • Southern MissatAuburn

    Auburn by 16.1 (89%)

  • Cal PolyatSan José St

    San José St by 21.0 (95%)

  • Texas SouthernatUTEP

    UTEP by 17.3 (91%)

  • GA SouthernatClemson

    Clemson by 12.5 (83%)

  • N Dakota StatAir Force

    N Dakota St by 7.8 (73%)

  • Arkansasat#20 Utah

    Utah by 16.4 (90%)

  • Sacramento StatFresno St

    Fresno St by 16.5 (90%)

  • Montana StatNevada

    Nevada by 20.4 (94%)

  • Louisianaat#14 USC

    USC by 16.6 (90%)

  • New Mexico StatHawai'i

    Hawai'i by 4.3 (63%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.