Week 2 · 2026
What the model says about week 2
Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.
Tennessee's game
#18 Tennesseeat
Georgia Tech
Final · ESPN
Tennessee by 7.6
Model
72%
To win
—
Market
Ranked teams this week
#1 Ohio Stateat
#4 TexasOhio State by 1.3 (54%)
Western KYat
#2 GeorgiaGeorgia by 26.4 (98%)
Riceat
#3 Notre DameNotre Dame by 31.8 (99%)
Howardat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 47.5 (99%)
#6 Oregonat
Oklahoma StOregon by 11.8 (82%)
Florida A&Mat
#7 MiamiMiami by 46.1 (99%)
Louisiana Techat
#8 LSULSU by 16.7 (90%)
Charlotteat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 29.0 (99%)
The full slate
86 games, in kickoff order.
Florida A&Mat
#7 MiamiMiami by 46.1 (99%)
Villanovaat
#24 LouisvilleLouisville by 35.5 (99%)
Norfolk Stat
#25 VirginiaVirginia by 38.4 (99%)
Richmondat
NC StateNC State by 32.7 (99%)
Rutgersat
Boston CollegeRutgers by 1.8 (56%)
#23 Missouriat
KansasMissouri by 4.8 (64%)
Howardat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 47.5 (99%)
Arizona Stat
#10 Texas A&MTexas A&M by 10.9 (80%)
#11 Oklahomaat
MichiganMichigan by 1.8 (56%)
#16 Penn Stateat
TemplePenn State by 9.4 (76%)
Washington Stat
Kansas StKansas St by 10.1 (78%)
ETSUat
North CarolinaNorth Carolina by 28.3 (99%)
Old Dominionat
Virginia TechVirginia Tech by 7.8 (72%)
Wake Forestat
PurdueWake Forest by 3.9 (62%)
South Floridaat
ArmySouth Florida by 2.7 (58%)
App Stateat
East CarolinaEast Carolina by 8.6 (74%)
Woffordat
Kent StateKent State by 18.8 (93%)
Wagnerat
James MadisonJames Madison by 39.3 (99%)
Gardner-Webbat
LibertyLiberty by 29.2 (99%)
Western KYat
#2 GeorgiaGeorgia by 26.4 (98%)
UT Martinat
West VirginiaWest Virginia by 30.3 (99%)
Colgateat
C MichiganC Michigan by 21.3 (95%)
Holy Crossat
Miami OHMiami OH by 27.3 (98%)
#6 Oregonat
Oklahoma StOregon by 11.8 (82%)
Stony Brookat
Ball StateBall State by 16.3 (89%)
Riceat
#3 Notre DameNotre Dame by 31.8 (99%)
#12 Alabamaat
KentuckyAlabama by 10.1 (78%)
Arizonaat
#15 BYUBYU by 8.4 (74%)
Utah Stateat
#19 WashingtonWashington by 12.8 (84%)
Mississippi Stat
MinnesotaMississippi St by 3.8 (62%)
Weber Stat
ColoradoColorado by 26.3 (98%)
UCFat
PittPitt by 8.5 (74%)
Californiaat
SyracuseSyracuse by 0.9 (53%)
Dukeat
IllinoisIllinois by 0.8 (52%)
E Michiganat
Michigan StMichigan St by 15.6 (88%)
Marylandat
UConnUConn by 1.2 (54%)
UTSAat
Texas StTexas St by 0.3 (51%)
UL Monroeat
UABUAB by 9.5 (77%)
Robert Morrisat
AkronAkron by 18.1 (92%)
C Connecticutat
ToledoToledo by 34.4 (99%)
Sacred Heartat
UMassUMass by 20.8 (95%)
UNLVat
North TexasNorth Texas by 8.7 (75%)
UC Davisat
#17 SMUSMU by 35.0 (99%)
N Coloradoat
WyomingWyoming by 19.9 (94%)
Mercyhurstat
New MexicoNew Mexico by 34.2 (99%)
Alabama Stat
TroyTroy by 24.1 (97%)
Delawareat
VanderbiltVanderbilt by 14.8 (87%)
Campbellat
FloridaFlorida by 40.2 (99%)
Memphisat
Boise StBoise St by 5.8 (67%)
Buffaloat
FIUFIU by 10.3 (79%)
Jax Stateat
OhioOhio by 2.5 (58%)
Monmouthat
W MichiganW Michigan by 29.6 (99%)
#18 Tennesseeat
Georgia TechTennessee by 7.6 (72%)
Southernat
#22 HoustonHouston by 36.3 (99%)
Towsonat
South CarolinaSouth Carolina by 34.1 (99%)
W Carolinaat
CincinnatiCincinnati by 33.9 (99%)
Bowling Greenat
NebraskaNebraska by 24.0 (97%)
Southern Utahat
Colorado StColorado St by 23.9 (97%)
Tulsaat
Sam HoustonTulsa by 4.8 (65%)
Illinois Stat
N IllinoisN Illinois by 14.9 (87%)
South Alabamaat
TulaneTulane by 9.4 (76%)
West Georgiaat
Arkansas StArkansas St by 23.8 (97%)
Georgia Stat
Kennesaw StKennesaw St by 3.1 (59%)
MTSUat
MarshallMarshall by 3.7 (61%)
Lindenwoodat
Missouri StMissouri St by 21.9 (95%)
San Diego Stat
UCLAUCLA by 11.1 (80%)
W Illinoisat
WisconsinWisconsin by 33.6 (99%)
#1 Ohio Stateat
#4 TexasOhio State by 1.3 (54%)
Louisiana Techat
#8 LSULSU by 16.7 (90%)
#13 Texas Techat
Oregon StTexas Tech by 13.9 (86%)
Iowa Stateat
#21 IowaIowa by 7.4 (71%)
Navyat
FAUNavy by 0.8 (52%)
Fordhamat
CoastalCoastal by 23.1 (96%)
Charlotteat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 29.0 (99%)
Gramblingat
TCUTCU by 35.1 (99%)
Prairie Viewat
BaylorBaylor by 33.1 (99%)
Southern Missat
AuburnAuburn by 16.1 (89%)
Cal Polyat
San José StSan José St by 21.0 (95%)
Texas Southernat
UTEPUTEP by 17.3 (91%)
GA Southernat
ClemsonClemson by 12.5 (83%)
N Dakota Stat
Air ForceN Dakota St by 7.8 (73%)
Arkansasat
#20 UtahUtah by 16.4 (90%)
Sacramento Stat
Fresno StFresno St by 16.5 (90%)
Montana Stat
NevadaNevada by 20.4 (94%)
Louisianaat
#14 USCUSC by 16.6 (90%)
New Mexico Stat
Hawai'iHawai'i by 4.3 (63%)
How this works
Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.
Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.
Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.